Velbert 1-1 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velbert EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.35/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.50
-2% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velbert
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
07.10.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 4-2 HT 0-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
05.09.2015 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 2-2 HT 1-0 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
25.03.2014 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 5-1 HT 4-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velbert and Mönchengladbach II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Velbert and 3.67 for Mönchengladbach II.

What was the final score of Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II?

Velbert 1-1 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Velbert 30%, draw 23%, Mönchengladbach II 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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