Bahlinger SC 1-1 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.73
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 3-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-3 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-1 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
21.04.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-1 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 5-4 HT 3-2 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahlinger SC
1-1
AWAY Hessen Kassel
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and Hessen Kassel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bahlinger SC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bahlinger SC had 46% of the ball to Hessen Kassel's 54%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahlinger SC and 2.00 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Hessen Kassel?

Bahlinger SC 1-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahlinger SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 49%, draw 25%, Hessen Kassel 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bahlinger SC)
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