Bayreuth 0-2 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
2.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.09
+20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Buchbach
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
15.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 5-2 HT 3-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Buchbach Buchbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach saw off Bayreuth 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buchbach led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bayreuth and 2.25 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Buchbach?

Bayreuth 0-2 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 52%, draw 27%, Buchbach 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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