Gütersloh 1-0 FC Bocholt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.66/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.80
+12% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gütersloh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Bocholt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.10.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 2-0 HT 2-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gütersloh
1-0
AWAY FC Bocholt
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gütersloh vs FC Bocholt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh edged past FC Bocholt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bocholt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gütersloh had 43% of the ball to FC Bocholt's 57%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Gütersloh vs FC Bocholt?

Gütersloh 1-0 FC Bocholt in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gütersloh vs FC Bocholt?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gütersloh 34%, draw 25%, FC Bocholt 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✗ BTTS Yes
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