Nürnberg II 1-2 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

Nürnberg II
1-2 HT 1-1
Greuther Fürth II
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg II v Greuther Fürth II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.61
+36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-5 HT 0-3 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 5-1 HT 2-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
04.10.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL

Nürnberg II 1-2 Greuther Fürth II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
1-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II edged past Nürnberg II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 49% of the ball to Greuther Fürth II's 51%, shots finished 20-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Nürnberg II and 0.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Nürnberg II 1-2 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 45%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth II 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5
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