Schott Mainz 1-2 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.47/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.42
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schott Mainz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
23.09.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 0-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-0 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
04.04.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
17.10.2020 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 3-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
07.07.2018 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schott Mainz
1-2
AWAY Mainz 05 II
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over Schott Mainz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 41%) promised a tight game; Mainz 05 II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Schott Mainz had 44% of the ball to Mainz 05 II's 56%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Schott Mainz and 1.67 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II?

Schott Mainz 1-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Schott Mainz 36%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 II 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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