Vilzing 1-2 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.33
-77% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
16.09.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-3 HT 0-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-0 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 4-2 HT 0-2 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 edged past Vilzing 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vilzing at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vilzing and 1.67 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Ansbach 09?

Vilzing 1-2 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 61%, draw 20%, Ansbach 09 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vilzing), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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