.png)
.png)
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) beat W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was W. Sydney Wanderers (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 53% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.89.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 35%, draw 23%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.