Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Mar 2024

Melbourne City
0-0 HT 0-0
Newcastle Jets
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.71
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
18%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.25
X/1
19%
3.94
X/2
8%
14.25
X/X
8%
7.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.8
2/2
11%
9.35
2/X
6%
17.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
2.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.66
+27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.4 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
02.04.2023 Melbourne City Melbourne City 1-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
12.11.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
18.02.2022 Melbourne City Melbourne City 3-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
08.02.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-4 HT 0-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
10.06.2021 Melbourne City Melbourne City 1-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City
0-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.35 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
406 Passes 227
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Melbourne City carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne City had 65% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 35%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Melbourne City and 1.00 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets?

Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 56%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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