Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Mar 2024

Sydney
2-0 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.17
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.45
X/X
12%
5.25
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.16
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 6.45 — our 19% vs market 11.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.92/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.69
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
22.8 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.25 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
468 Passes 357
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-3 HT 0-3 Sydney Sydney AVUS
13.08.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK
04.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
17.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
31.07.2022 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 2-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK
09.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-5 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS

Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
2-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
453 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney saw off Central Coast Mariners 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sydney made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sydney had 61% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 39%, shots finished 27-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sydney and 1.83 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?

Sydney 2-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sydney 38%, draw 26%, Central Coast Mariners 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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