Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Feb 2024

Central Coast Mariners
1-3 HT 0-3
Sydney
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.66
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
5%
7.05
X/X
14%
5.54
2/1
7%
21.6
2/2
17%
4.63
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.82/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.70
+20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
18.1 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sydney
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.63 xG 2.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
372 Passes 471
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK
04.02.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
17.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 2-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
31.07.2022 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 2-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK
09.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-5 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
30.01.2022 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1-3
AWAY Sydney
1.15 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 Passes 351
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney beat Central Coast Mariners 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 49% of the ball to Sydney's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.15 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 3.00 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 46%, draw 25%, Sydney 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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