Wellington Phoenix vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-3
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
1-4
HT 0-3
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-0
Western United
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix beat Western United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Wellington Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 53% of the ball to Western United's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.00 for Western United.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western United?
Wellington Phoenix 2-0 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 42%, draw 27%, Western United 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.