Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austria Lustenau v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals
Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
2-4
HT 0-2
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
0-2
HT 0-0
Austria Lustenau
AVU
3-2
HT 3-0
Austria Lustenau
AVU
2-1
HT 1-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
Austria Lustenau 1-2 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics
Swarovski Tirol edged past Austria Lustenau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Swarovski Tirol as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Austria Lustenau had 35% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.65 to 2.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swarovski Tirol's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Swarovski Tirol.
What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol?
Austria Lustenau 1-2 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 26%, draw 28%, Swarovski Tirol 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.