Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Austria Lustenau v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals
Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Austria Lustenau 1-2 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics
Swarovski Tirol edged past Austria Lustenau 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Swarovski Tirol as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Austria Lustenau had 35% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.65 to 2.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swarovski Tirol's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Swarovski Tirol.
Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Result & Final Score
Austria Lustenau 1 - 2 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Austria Lustenau vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 25%, draw 30%, Swarovski Tirol 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.