Al Dhafra 0-1 Dibba Al Fujairah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.8pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dibba Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.96/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.51
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Dibba Al Fujairah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.79 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
266 Passes 296
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
12.05.2023 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
23.01.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-1 HT 1-1 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah BAE
10.12.2015 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-5 HT 1-2 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah BAE
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Dibba Al Fujairah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dibba Al Fujairah edged past Al Dhafra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Dibba Al Fujairah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Dhafra and 1.75 for Dibba Al Fujairah.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

Al Dhafra 0-1 Dibba Al Fujairah in the UAE - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dibba Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 38%, draw 21%, Dibba Al Fujairah 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dibba Al Fujairah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dibba Al Fujairah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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