Gulf Heroes 1-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.47/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.45
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf Heroes
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Thaid
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
07.05.2023 Gulf Heroes 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
01.01.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
10.04.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-2 Gulf Heroes BAE2
24.12.2021 Gulf Heroes 3-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Gulf Heroes vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf Heroes and Al Thaid shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gulf Heroes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gulf Heroes and 1.20 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Gulf Heroes vs Al Thaid?

Gulf Heroes 1-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf Heroes vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gulf Heroes 35%, draw 25%, Al Thaid 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Thaid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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