Lyon 1-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Mar 2024

Lyon
1-1 HT 0-0
Reims
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lyon vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.73
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
21%
4.81
X/2
8%
7.24
X/X
9%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
14%
4.82
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.45/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
+16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.8 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lyon vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
513 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Reims Reims 2-0 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
27.05.2023 Lyon Lyon 3-0 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1
28.08.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
20.03.2022 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
01.12.2021 Lyon Lyon 1-2 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
12.03.2021 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1

Lyon 1-1 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
1-1
AWAY Reims
1.92 xG 1.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
511 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon and Reims shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lyon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lyon had 64% of the ball to Reims's 36%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.92 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyon and 1.00 for Reims.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Reims?

Lyon 1-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lyon 45%, draw 26%, Reims 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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30 Mar 2024
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