Hajduk Split 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.11
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 13.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 468
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
15.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HISK
30.04.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
26.02.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 3-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.05 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
303 Passes 174
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb edged past Hajduk Split 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 60% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 40%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.00 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 34%, draw 30%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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