Parceiro Nagano 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.32/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.96
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
28.05.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
25.09.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
04.05.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
21.11.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.06.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano saw off Azul Claro Numazu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Parceiro Nagano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 33% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 67%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 0.67 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Parceiro Nagano 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 36%, draw 28%, Azul Claro Numazu 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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