Ryukyu 3-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
1.57/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
+37% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-3 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
15.07.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
3-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu got the better of Kataller Toyama 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 62% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 38%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ryukyu and 2.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Kataller Toyama?

Ryukyu 3-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 33%, draw 25%, Kataller Toyama 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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