Liepaja 0-3 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 69%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.42/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.60
-59% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
191 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
9.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.8
18.0 Crosses 29.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 2.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
275 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
08.07.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
06.11.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
29.08.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-3
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.24 xG 2.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
2 Total Shots 31
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 13
261 Passes 435
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 59
8 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Liepaja had 40% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 60%, shots finished 2-31, expected goals 0.24 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Liepaja 0-3 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 17%, draw 26%, Rigas Skola 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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