30/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Bistrica vs Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
31%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
52%
56%
Under 2.5
50%
44%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
50%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bistrica v Gorica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bistrica
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gorica
EU Bookmakers 56%
+23% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
0.72/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.36/0.53
-36%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+51%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
273 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
405 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
Bistrica vs Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bistrica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Gorica
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
7
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
7
1
Corners
2
0
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
15.09.2023
Gorica
1-0
HT 0-0
Bistrica
SLVN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Bistrica
SLVN2
POST-MATCH
Bistrica vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gorica cruised past Bistrica 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gorica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bistrica vs Gorica?
Bistrica 1-5 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 32%, draw 31%, Gorica 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gorica)
✗ Under 2.5
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30 Mar 2024