Nafta 1-0 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.44/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.17
+68% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Beltinci
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
30.04.2023 Nafta Nafta 2-2 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
16.10.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 4-3 HT 2-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
13.05.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
29.10.2021 Nafta Nafta 1-0 HT 0-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-0
AWAY Beltinci
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta squeezed past Beltinci 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nafta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nafta had 48% of the ball to Beltinci's 52%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beltinci led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nafta and 1.60 for Beltinci.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Beltinci?

Nafta 1-0 Beltinci in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nafta 34%, draw 28%, Beltinci 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Beltinci) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beltinci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
30 Mar 2024
17:30 Bilje vs NK Brinje Analysis →
17:30 Bistrica vs Gorica Analysis →
17:30 Dravinja vs Ajdovscina Skou Analysis →