Obolon Kyiv 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
0.90/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.68
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Corners 7
16.09.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk swept aside Obolon Kyiv 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Obolon Kyiv 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 15%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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