Polessya 1-4 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 32%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
0.36/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.26
-73% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa cruised past Polessya 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Chornomorets Odessa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Polessya 1-4 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Polessya 39%, draw 27%, Chornomorets Odessa 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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