Sparta Prag II 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.58/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.68
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
29.03.2024 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
18.08.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-2 HT 1-0 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
17.04.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-0 HT 0-0 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
01.10.2021 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
1-1
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs Zbrojovka Brno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II and Zbrojovka Brno shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 66% of the ball to Zbrojovka Brno's 34%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sparta Prag II and 1.20 for Zbrojovka Brno.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Sparta Prag II 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Republic - FNL on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 38%, draw 23%, Zbrojovka Brno 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) ✗ BTTS No
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