Crystal Palace (K) 0-4 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
24%
8.11
Away
60%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.0pp
23%
Draw
9%
+14.3pp
60%
Away Win
86%
-25.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.50/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.40
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +24%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 87%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.8
8.4 Crosses 25.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.88 xG 3.28
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 6
158 Passes 707
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 51
4 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.01.2025 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace (K) Crystal Palace (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0-4
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.38 xG 1.56
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
160 Passes 593
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 39
3 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) ran out comfortable winners over Crystal Palace (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Crystal Palace (K) had 27% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 73%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.38 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Crystal Palace (K) 0-4 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace (K) 16%, draw 23%, Arsenal (K) 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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