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Liverpool (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Liverpool (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa (K) nicked a narrow win over Liverpool (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool (K) had 47% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 53%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.60 — on chances, Liverpool (K) could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Liverpool (K) and 1.00 for Aston Villa (K).
What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Liverpool (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 45%, draw 26%, Aston Villa (K) 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.