Bayern München (K) 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.5pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.36/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.40
-3% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
19.9 Crosses 22.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
20.10.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
2-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.37 xG 0.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
467 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) got the better of Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 64% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 36%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.37 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Bayern München (K) 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 56%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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