Wolfsburg (K) 5-1 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
81%
-17.1pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.4pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.43/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.43
+21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +112%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 69%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
24.2 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 0.38
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
508 Passes 137
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
27 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-2 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
29.01.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-3 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
5-1
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
3.78 xG 0.07
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
527 Passes 136
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) cruised past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 73% of the ball to Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s 27%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 3.78 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 0.50 for Essen-Schönebeck (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 5-1 Essen-Schönebeck (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 64%, draw 20%, Essen-Schönebeck (K) 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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