First Vienna 1-0 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.23
2-3 Goals
32%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 32% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.86
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
21%
4.17
X/2
6%
12.3
X/X
13%
6.37
2/1
8%
21.0
2/2
10%
9.64
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.96/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.98
-9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 10.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SV Horn
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 SV Horn SV Horn 3-6 HT 2-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
08.03.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 0-2 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
07.09.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 4-3 HT 1-2 SV Horn SV Horn HAZ
18.08.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 2-0 HT 2-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
28.04.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
16.09.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-3 HT 0-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
1-0
AWAY SV Horn
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna squeezed past SV Horn 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, First Vienna had 58% of the ball to SV Horn's 42%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for First Vienna and 1.67 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs SV Horn?

First Vienna 1-0 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 56%, draw 24%, SV Horn 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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