Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.19
1/2
4%
24.2
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
8.24
X/2
19%
4.71
X/X
5%
4.79
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.59
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 8.24 — our 15% vs market 8.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Auckland
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
475 Passes 327
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
19.10.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar
0-2
AWAY Auckland
0.97 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
391 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland saw off Brisbane Roar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auckland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brisbane Roar had 54% of the ball to Auckland's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.97 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Auckland?

Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 33%, draw 21%, Auckland 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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