Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Mar 2025

Central Coast Mariners
3-1 HT 2-1
Perth Glory
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.59
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.86
X/2
10%
7.81
X/X
9%
5.7
2/1
7%
21.5
2/2
12%
5.36
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.76
+12% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.8 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
411 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 3-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.11.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
23.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
3-1
AWAY Perth Glory
1.49 xG 2.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
300 Passes 492
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners saw off Perth Glory 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Coast Mariners as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 40% of the ball to Perth Glory's 60%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.49 to 2.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Perth Glory.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.50 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?

Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 45%, draw 26%, Perth Glory 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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