Preston North End 0-3 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Mar 2025

Preston North End
0-3 HT 0-0
Aston Villa
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Preston North End vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
49%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
15.2
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
6%
23.3
X/1
9%
16.95
X/2
20%
3.79
X/X
10%
6.66
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
22%
1.61
2/X
8%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+13.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
68%
-18.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 72%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.29
-84% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
197 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 85%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
11.0 Crosses 24.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 5.0

Preston North End vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.03 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 308
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2018 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNCL
02.10.2018 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-3 HT 2-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
20.02.2018 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
01.11.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-2 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNCL
21.01.2017 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-2 HT 2-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
01.10.2016 Preston North End Preston North End 2-0 HT 2-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNCL
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa swept aside Preston North End 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Preston North End and 1.50 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Aston Villa?

Preston North End 0-3 Aston Villa in the England - FA Cup on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 26%, draw 24%, Aston Villa 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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