Raja Casablanca 4-2 Raja Beni Mellal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Raja Casablanca win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 19%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
21.02.2020 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
24.10.2019 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
4-2
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Raja Beni Mellal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca saw off Raja Beni Mellal 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 45% of the ball to Raja Beni Mellal's 55%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.50 for Raja Beni Mellal.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Raja Casablanca 4-2 Raja Beni Mellal in the Morocco - Cup on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 55%, draw 24%, Raja Beni Mellal 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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