Chabab Mohammedia 2-6 UTS Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
52%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+12.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
52%
Away Win
68%
-16.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 71%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY UTS Rabat
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 2-1 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
02.11.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-3 HT 0-2 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
27.04.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-2 HT 0-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
16.12.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-2 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
12.03.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-1 HT 1-0 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
07.10.2022 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-0 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
2-6
AWAY UTS Rabat
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs UTS Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat swept aside Chabab Mohammedia 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UTS Rabat as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 36% of the ball to UTS Rabat's 64%, shots finished 6-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTS Rabat led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chabab Mohammedia and 1.67 for UTS Rabat.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs UTS Rabat?

Chabab Mohammedia 2-6 UTS Rabat in the Morocco - Cup on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs UTS Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated an UTS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 21%, draw 27%, UTS Rabat 52%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTS Rabat), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTS Rabat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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