Polokwane City 3-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.61
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
0.84/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.96
-45% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.2 Crosses 23.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.87 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2025 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
08.05.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
24.02.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 3-2 HT 2-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
04.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
3-1
AWAY Richards Bay
1.23 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
178 Passes 264
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City got the better of Richards Bay 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Polokwane City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polokwane City had 42% of the ball to Richards Bay's 58%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Richards Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Polokwane City and 1.25 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?

Polokwane City 3-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 35%, draw 29%, Richards Bay 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Richards Bay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
30 Mar 2025
18:30 TS Galaxy vs Marumo Gallants Analysis →
18:45 SuperSport United vs Cape Town City Analysis →