Ajax (K) 4-0 ADO Den Haag (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.03
No
66%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
35%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-12.1pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.7pp
66%
BTTS No
55%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.60/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/3.08
+40% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -13%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
472 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 13.8
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
590 Passes 153
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Crosses 12
03.11.2024 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
17.12.2023 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
4-0
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
452 Passes 162
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) ran out comfortable winners over ADO Den Haag (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 68% of the ball to ADO Den Haag (K)'s 32%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ajax (K) and 0.00 for ADO Den Haag (K).

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Ajax (K) 4-0 ADO Den Haag (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 67%, draw 17%, ADO Den Haag (K) 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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