Heerenveen (K) 1-2 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2025

Heerenveen (K)
1-2 HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle (K)
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen (K) v PEC Zwolle (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.48
-13% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
29.0 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.0

Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
299 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
28.01.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
04.11.2023 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1

Heerenveen (K) 1-2 PEC Zwolle (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-2
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
294 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) nicked a narrow win over Heerenveen (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; PEC Zwolle (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 51% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 2.00 for PEC Zwolle (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-2 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 35%, draw 29%, PEC Zwolle (K) 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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