Posta Rangers 0-1 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+7.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 53%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.85/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.24
-14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Police
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.01.2025 Police Police 3-2 HT 1-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
01.09.2023 Police Police 0-3 HT 0-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
30.12.2021 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 2-2 Police Police KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
0-1
AWAY Police
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police squeezed past Posta Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 52% of the ball to Police's 48%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Posta Rangers and 1.67 for Police.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Police?

Posta Rangers 0-1 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 27%, draw 26%, Police 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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