Cultural San 3-1 Alianza Universidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.20
+55% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
26.6 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
3-1
AWAY Alianza Universidad
1.56 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
354 Passes 307
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Alianza Universidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San saw off Alianza Universidad 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cultural San found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural San had 52% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 48%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Alianza Universidad?

Cultural San 3-1 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Alianza Universidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 40%, draw 30%, Alianza Universidad 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
30 Mar 2025
02:00 Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys Analysis →
23:30 Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →