Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.48/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.40
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.3 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
234 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
12.02.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
17.08.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.03.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
4-0
AWAY Sport Boys
2.39 xG 1.18
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
179 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso swept aside Sport Boys 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 36% of the ball to Sport Boys's 64%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.39 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 50%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso)
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