Polonia Bytom 5-4 Swit Skolwin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.4
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 35% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.0pp
29%
Draw
19%
+10.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Swit Skolwin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 6
31.08.2024 Swit Skolwin 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
5-4
AWAY Swit Skolwin
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Swit Skolwin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom edged past Swit Skolwin 5-4. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 64% of the ball to Swit Skolwin's 36%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Swit Skolwin?

Polonia Bytom 5-4 Swit Skolwin in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Swit Skolwin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 53%, draw 29%, Swit Skolwin 18%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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