Hutnik Krakow 1-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.45/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1-4
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec cruised past Hutnik Krakow 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Zaglebie Sosnowiec found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 48% of the ball to Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 52%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Hutnik Krakow 1-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 36%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Under 2.5
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