Nacional de Football vs Juventud Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Juventud — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Juventud Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 1-2 Juventud — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud edged past Nacional de Football 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional de Football at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 55% of the ball to Juventud's 45%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.00 for Juventud.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Juventud?
Nacional de Football 1-2 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Juventud?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 57%, draw 21%, Juventud 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No went the other way.