Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Progreso 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Progreso 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Progreso had 43% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 57%, shots finished 6-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Progreso and 1.80 for Racing Club Montevideo.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Progreso 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 28%, draw 30%, Racing Club Montevideo 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.