Hamburger SV (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2026

Hamburger SV (K)
1-3 HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen (K)
📅30/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
59%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
59%
Away Win
63%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburger SV (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.02/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
-17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.8 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.58 xG 1.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
179 Passes 334
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) ALKB
25.11.2023 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKK

Hamburger SV (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
1-3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.83 xG 4.62
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
185 Passes 395
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 51
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) beat Hamburger SV (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hamburger SV (K) had 36% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 64%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 0.83 to 4.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hamburger SV (K) and 3.00 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Hamburger SV (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV (K) 18%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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