Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
41%
2.66
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
Over
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.73
No
64%
1.4
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
43%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela The Market 28%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.74 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.74
0.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.24
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
314 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
08.04.2024 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
31.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
11.07.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
15.08.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
03.04.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
REVIEW Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Defensores De Belgrano and Atletico Rafaela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 41% / 22%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Defensores De Belgrano against 0.33 for Atletico Rafaela.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela Result & Final Score

Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 37%, draw 41%, Atletico Rafaela 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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