Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-1 Finlandiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
1-1
AWAY Finlandiya
0.90 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
400 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Finlandiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeşil Burun Adaları and Finlandiya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 52% of the ball to Finlandiya's 48%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.90 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Finlandiya?

Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-1 Finlandiya in the Friendlies on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Finlandiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finlandiya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 34%, draw 30%, Finlandiya 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Finlandiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finlandiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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