Baghdad 2-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 30 Mar 2026

Baghdad
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Al Karma
📅30/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Baghdad vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.35
Away Pick
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
1%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Baghdad v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Baghdad The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma The Market 57%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
1.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
Average Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baghdad vs Al Karma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baghdad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Karma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
22.01.2026 Al Karma Al Karma 2-1 HT 0-0 Baghdad Baghdad IRAK
REVIEW Baghdad vs Al Karma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Baghdad came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Al Karma 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Karma at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

Baghdad vs Al Karma Result & Final Score

Baghdad 2 - 1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Baghdad vs Al Karma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 19%, draw 27%, Al Karma 54%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
30 Mar 2026
15:00 Al Talaba vs Naft Analysis →
17:30 Duhok vs Zakho Analysis →
17:30 Al Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa Analysis →
17:30 Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra Analysis →