Al Karma 2-1 Baghdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Jan 2026

Al Karma
2-1 HT 0-0
Baghdad
📅22/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Karma vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
39%
3.45
Away
12%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
27%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
39%
Draw
26%
+12.6pp
12%
Away Win
17%
-4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karma v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Baghdad EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.28/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-17% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Baghdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma nicked a narrow win over Baghdad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Baghdad?

Al Karma 2-1 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Baghdad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 49%, draw 39%, Baghdad 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Karma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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